What is the probability that a random sample of 400 U.S. youth will provide a sample proportion (p¯) that is within 0.03 of the population proportion (p)?

Answers

Answer 1

Complete Question

The proportion of adult women in the United States is 51% (p=0.51).What is the probability that a random sample of 400 U.S. youth will provide a sample proportion (p¯) that is within 0.03 of the population proportion (p)?

Answer:

The probability is  [tex]P( 0.48 < p < 0.54 ) = 0.77[/tex]  or  [tex]P( 0.48 < p < 0.54 ) = 77\%[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

From the question we are told that

   The sample size is  n  =  400

    The population proportion is  p = 0.51

Generally the standard deviation of this sampling distribution is mathematically represented as

          [tex]\sigma = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n} }[/tex]

=>      [tex]\sigma = \sqrt{\frac{0.51(1-0.51)}{400} }[/tex]

=>      [tex]\sigma = 0.02499[/tex]

Generally the lower limit for the range of the population proportion within 0.03 is

    [tex]a = p - 0.03[/tex]

=>[tex]a = 0.51 - 0.03[/tex]

=>[tex]a = 0.48[/tex]

Generally the  upper  limit for the range of the population proportion within 0.03 is

    [tex]b = p + 0.03[/tex]

=>[tex]a = 0.51 + 0.03[/tex]

=>[tex]a = 0.54[/tex]

Generally the  probability that a random sample of 400 U.S. youth will provide a sample proportion (p¯) that is within 0.03 of the population proportion (p) is mathematically represented as

     [tex]P( a < p < b) = P( \frac{a - p }{\sigma } < \frac{\^ p - p }{\sigma} < \frac{b - p}{\sigma } )[/tex]

=>   [tex]P( 0.48 < p < 0.54 ) = P( \frac{0.48 - 0.51 }{0.02499 } < \frac{\^ p - p }{\sigma} < \frac{0.54 - 0.51}{0.02499 } )[/tex]

[tex]\frac{\^ p -p }{\sigma }  =  Z (The  \ standardized \  value\  of \  \^ p )[/tex]

=>   [tex]P( 0.48 < p < 0.54 ) = P( -1.2 < Z < 1.2 )[/tex]

=>   [tex]P( 0.48 < p < 0.54 ) = P( Z < 1.2) - P(Z < -1.2 )[/tex]

From the z table  the area under the normal curve to the left corresponding to  1.2 and  -1.2  is

     [tex]P( Z < 1.2) =0.88493[/tex]

and  

    [tex]P( Z < -1.2) =0.11507[/tex]

So

   [tex]P( 0.48 < p < 0.54 ) = 0.88493 - 0.11507[/tex]

=>  [tex]P( 0.48 < p < 0.54 ) = 0.77[/tex]


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Answers

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