Answer:
[tex]77.7-1.66\frac{3.6}{\sqrt{100}} =77.102[/tex]
[tex]77.7+1.66\frac{3.6}{\sqrt{100}} =78.30[/tex]
And the best option would be:
C. (77.1, 78.3)
Step-by-step explanation:
Information given
[tex]\bar X=77.7[/tex] represent the sample mean
[tex]\mu[/tex] population mean (variable of interest)
s=3.6 represent the sample standard deviation
n=100 represent the sample size
Confidence interval
The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula:
[tex]\bar X \pm t_{\alpha/2}\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex] (1)
The degrees of freedom are given by:
[tex]df=n-1=100-1=99[/tex]
Since the Confidence is 0.90 or 90%, the significance would be [tex]\alpha=0.1[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2 =0.05[/tex], and the critical value for this case would be [tex]t_{\alpha/2}=1.66[/tex]
And replacing we got:
[tex]77.7-1.66\frac{3.6}{\sqrt{100}} =77.10[/tex]
[tex]77.7+1.66\frac{3.6}{\sqrt{100}} =78.30[/tex]
And the best option would be:
C. (77.1, 78.3)
In a certain community, eight percent of all adults over age 50 have diabetes. If a health service in this community correctly diagnosis 95% of all persons with diabetes as having the disease and incorrectly diagnoses ten percent of all persons without diabetes as having the disease, find the probabilities that:
Complete question is;
In a certain community, 8% of all people above 50 years of age have diabetes. A health service in this community correctly diagnoses 95% of all person with diabetes as having the disease, and incorrectly diagnoses 10% of all person without diabetes as having the disease. Find the probability that a person randomly selected from among all people of age above 50 and diagnosed by the health service as having diabetes actually has the disease.
Answer:
P(has diabetes | positive) = 0.442
Step-by-step explanation:
Probability of having diabetes and being positive is;
P(positive & has diabetes) = P(has diabetes) × P(positive | has diabetes)
We are told 8% or 0.08 have diabetes and there's a correct diagnosis of 95% of all the persons with diabetes having the disease.
Thus;
P(positive & has diabetes) = 0.08 × 0.95 = 0.076
P(negative & has diabetes) = P(has diabetes) × (1 –P(positive | has diabetes)) = 0.08 × (1 - 0.95)
P(negative & has diabetes) = 0.004
P(positive & no diabetes) = P(no diabetes) × P(positive | no diabetes)
We are told that there is an incorrect diagnoses of 10% of all persons without diabetes as having the disease
Thus;
P(positive & no diabetes) = 0.92 × 0.1 = 0.092
P(negative &no diabetes) =P(no diabetes) × (1 –P(positive | no diabetes)) = 0.92 × (1 - 0.1)
P(negative &no diabetes) = 0.828
Probability that a person selected having diabetes actually has the disease is;
P(has diabetes | positive) =P(positive & has diabetes) / P(positive)
P(positive) = 0.08 + P(positive & no diabetes)
P(positive) = 0.08 + 0.092 = 0.172
P(has diabetes | positive) = 0.076/0.172 = 0.442
Using formula:
[tex]P(\text{diabetes diagnosis})\\[/tex]:
[tex]=\text{P(having diabetes and have been diagnosed with it)}\\ + \text{P(not have diabetes and yet be diagnosed with diabetes)}[/tex]
[tex]=0.08 \times 0.95+(1-0.08) \times 0.10 \\\\=0.08 \times 0.95+0.92 \times 0.10 \\\\=0.076+0.092\\\\=0.168[/tex]
[tex]\text{P(have been diagnosed with diabetes)}[/tex]:
[tex]=\frac{\text{P(have diabetic and been diagnosed as having insulin)}}{\text{P(diabetes diagnosis)}}[/tex]
[tex]=\frac{0.08\times 0.95}{0.168} \\\\=\frac{0.076}{0.168} \\\\=0.452\\[/tex]
Learn more about the probability:
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